Abstract

To reduce global HIV-1 incidence, there is a need to understand and disentangle HIV-1 transmission dynamics and to determine the geographic areas and populations that act as hubs or drivers of HIV-1 spread. In Sub-Saharan Africa (sSA), the region with the highest HIV-1 burden, information about such transmission dynamics is sparse. Phylogenetic inference is a powerful method for the study of HIV-1 transmission networks and source attribution. In this review, we assessed available phylogenetic data on mixing between HIV-1 hotspots (geographic areas and populations with high HIV-1 incidence and prevalence) and areas or populations with lower HIV-1 burden in sSA. We searched PubMed and identified and reviewed 64 studies on HIV-1 transmission dynamics within and between risk groups and geographic locations in sSA (published 1995–2021). We describe HIV-1 transmission from both a geographic and a risk group perspective in sSA. Finally, we discuss the challenges facing phylogenetic inference in mixed epidemics in sSA and offer our perspectives and potential solutions to the identified challenges.

Highlights

  • Molecular phylogenetic approaches have evolved into powerful tools in understanding pathogens and how they cause disease in human populations [1]

  • Sixty-four articles were considered eligible for full-text review, including 29 articles assessing geographic dispersion (Table 1) and 35 assessing HIV-1 mixing between HIV-1 populations in Sub-Saharan Africa (sSA)

  • Phylogenetic methods could help in characterising such drivers but rely on the availability of large numbers of sequences obtained from wellcharacterised cohorts

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Summary

Introduction

Molecular phylogenetic approaches have evolved into powerful tools in understanding pathogens and how they cause disease in human populations [1]. Based on genetic relatedness between pathogen strains, these studies have been coupled with epidemiological data to decipher transmission events in infected hosts [2]. This approach has several applications and has been used to understand the geographic distribution of a large number of pathogens The epidemic in sSA is mostly spread out among heterosexuals (HET, presumed heterosexuals) who have lower HIV-1 incidence and prevalence compared to key populations [24,25,26].

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