Abstract
Despite many years of rigorous evaluation of a variety of interventions, HIV incidence rates in parts of Africa remain unacceptably high. A recent review identified 37 randomized controlled trials testing interventions to reduce HIV incidence.1 Except for 3 randomized controlled trials of male circumcision2‐4 and 1 trial of syndromic treatment of sexually transmitted diseases,5 and, recently, 1 trial of a vaginal microbicide,6 no significant reductions in HIV incidence were observed. In some trials of vaginal microbicides, trial participants in the active treatment arm actually had increased HIV incidence rates.7 Trials with candidate vaccines have been equally disappointing.8 A recently completed trial of a prime-boost strategy conducted in Thailand showed statistically significant, but limited, protection against HIV.9 Nevertheless, even vaccine optimists think that a preventive HIV vaccine is many years away. Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) were identified as important cofactors for HIV transmission early in the epidemic.10,11 Many prospective observational studies showed that the presence of ulcerative and nonulcerative STIs increased the likelihood of HIV transmission.10,11 Several interventions were based on this observation including mass treatment with antibiotics,12 improved syndromic management of STIs,5,13 and herpes simplex virus (HSV)-2 suppressive treatment.14 Null findings of these interventions should be interpreted with caution. Failure to show an effect does not necessarily mean that the STI is not causally associated with HIV. As Barnabas and Wasserheit highlight,15 the stage of the HIV epidemic in which an intervention trial is conducted may significantly influence observed efficacy. Another possible reason for the failure of these trials to demonstrate efficacy is that the intervention may not have adequately controlled the STI or its biologic effects.
Published Version
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