Abstract

This article analyzes the fertility decline in postwar Japan especially since 1973 and the demographic and socioeconomic factors contributing to it. The analysis based primarily on period parity progression ratios suggests that Japans fertility decline since 1973 has occurred mainly because of postponement of marriage and first birth and declines in ratios of progression to marriage and first birth. It is shown that womens rising educational attainment plays an important role in inducing the new marriage and fertility pattern. The effect of womens education is associated with a number of related socioeconomic changes including rising wages of women and higher opportunity costs of marriage and childbearing as well as changes in values. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)

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