Abstract

Abstract We examine the case of a random isotropic velocity field, in which one of the velocity components (the ‘radial’ component, with magnitude $v$$z$) can be measured easily, while measurement of the velocity perpendicular to this component (the ‘transverse’ component, with magnitude $v$T) is more difficult and requires long-time monitoring. Particularly important examples are the motion of galaxies at cosmological distances and the interpretation of Gaia data on the proper motion of stars in globular clusters and dwarf galaxies. We address two questions: what is the probability distribution of $v$T for a given $v$$z$, and for what choice of $v$$z$ is the expected value of $v$T maximized? We show that, for a given $v$$z$, the probability that $v$T exceeds some value $v$0 is $p(v_T \ge v_0 | v_z) = p_{z} \left(\sqrt{v_0^2 + v_z^2}\right)/{p_z(v_z)}$, where p$z$($v$$z$) is the probability distribution of $v$$z$. The expected value of $v$T is maximized by choosing $v$$z$ as large as possible whenever $\ln p_z(\sqrt{v_z})$ has a positive second derivative, and by taking $v$$z$ as small as possible when this second derivative is negative.

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