Abstract
Non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) such as ethane and propane are significant atmospheric pollutants and precursors of tropospheric ozone, while the Middle East is a global emission hotspot due to extensive oil and gas production. Here we compare in situ hydrocarbon measurements, performed around the Arabian Peninsula, with global model simulations that include current emission inventories (EDGAR) and state-of-the-art atmospheric circulation and chemistry mechanisms (EMAC model). While measurements of high mixing ratios over the Arabian Gulf are adequately simulated, strong underprediction by the model was found over the northern Red Sea. By examining the individual sources in the model and by utilizing air mass back-trajectory investigations and Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) analysis, we deduce that Red Sea Deep Water (RSDW) is an unexpected, potent source of atmospheric NMHCs. This overlooked underwater source is comparable with total anthropogenic emissions from entire Middle Eastern countries, and significantly impacts the regional atmospheric chemistry.
Highlights
Non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) such as ethane and propane are significant atmospheric pollutants and precursors of tropospheric ozone, while the Middle East is a global emission hotspot due to extensive oil and gas production
Fossil fuel exploitation in this region is responsible for the release of large amounts of gaseous pollutants into the atmosphere, including methane (CH4)[2] and non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs)[3]
By comparing the observations with model simulations, we aim to evaluate the emission inventories and atmospheric chemistry mechanisms while focusing on the most abundant anthropogenic hydrocarbons: ethane and propane
Summary
Non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) such as ethane and propane are significant atmospheric pollutants and precursors of tropospheric ozone, while the Middle East is a global emission hotspot due to extensive oil and gas production. We compare in situ hydrocarbon measurements, performed around the Arabian Peninsula, with global model simulations that include current emission inventories (EDGAR) and state-of-the-art atmospheric circulation and chemistry mechanisms (EMAC model). Natural geologic (i.e., mud volcanoes, onshore and marine seeps, and micro seepage, geothermal and volcanic) sources contribute to both ambient ethane and propane concentrations, and their inclusion in global emission inventories helps to better explain the reported values from the expanding global observation network[15]. Such sources will have dominated preindustrial emissions. The largest measurement/model discrepancy was observed over the northern part of the Red Sea, which was investigated in terms of possible underestimation of existing sources and emission patterns (i.e., ratios between the measured hydrocarbons) that are derived by using positive matrix factorization analysis
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