Abstract
Objective To evaluate the prognostic value of extravascular lung water index (EVLWI), soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1(sICAM-1) and Krebs yon den lungen-6 (KL-6) in severe pneumonia patients with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (ARDS). Methods A prospective study was conducted in Respiratory Intensive Care Unit of the Affiliated Zhengzhou Central Hospital of Zhengzhou University from October 2017 to February 2020. The study included 65 severe pneumonia patients with ARDS, who was performed by measurement of pulse index continuous cardiac output and survived more than 3days after admission. The Extravascular Lung Water Index(EVLWI), sICAM-1, KL-6 and Oxygenation Index(OI) on 1st, 3rd and 5th day were detected. APACHE Ⅱ score, patient survival events (days) and survival outcome were recorded. Correlation analysis between EVLWI, sICAM-1, KL-6 and OI was performed on the 1st,3rd and 5th day after admission. Independent risk factors of mortality in severe pneumonia patients with ARDS were analyzed by multiple logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn,and the prognostic value of each parameter was assessed finally. Results The PCT, EVLWI, sICAM-1, KL-6 and APACHE Ⅱ score in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group (P 0.05). These parameters including levels of EVLWI, sICAM-1, KL-6, Procalcitonin and APACHE Ⅱ score in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group on the 1st,3rd and 5th day (P<0.05), whereas the OI was significantly lower than that of the survival group on the 3rd and 5th day (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that EVLWI, sICAM-1, KL-6 level were significantly related with the mortality of these patients. The levels of sICAM-1, kl-6 and EVLWI on 1st,3rd and 5th day after RICU admission showed a significant negative correlation with OI (P<0.001). Whereas, The levels of sICAM-1, kL-6 on 1st,3rd and 5th day showed a significant positive correlation with EVLWI (P<0.001). The sensitivity and specificity of sICAM-1, KL-6 combined with EVLWI in prognosis evaluation on 1st,3rd and 5th day were 75.0%,84.4%, 85.0%,66.7%,80.0%,86.7%, respectively. The AUC was 0.864,0.881,0.892 on 1st,3rd and 5th day, respectively (P<0.001), which had a better prognostic value than each of them. Conclusions EVLWI, sICAM-1 and KL-6 were independent risk factors for the prognosis of severe pneumonia patients with ARDS. The combination of EVLWI, sICAM-1 and KL-6 might be important in early predicting the prognosis of the 28d mortality. © 2021 Chinese Medical Association. All rights reserved.
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