The Present Situation and Trend of Negotiations on the Iranian Nuclear Issue

Abstract

After Iran and the United States and Europe disagreed on the “final text” put forward by the European Union in early August, the Iranian nuclear talks once again reached an impasse and have continued to this day. The main contentious points that deadlocked the negotiations are: “guarantee problem” “problem of lifting of sanctions” “safeguard problem” and so on. At present, the Iranian nuclear issue is in a state where there are no formal negotiations but secret indirect communication, although there is a lot of progress, there are still major obstacles and although no agreement has been reached, there is no crisis. As far as the trend of Iranian nuclear negotiations is concerned, it is an inevitable trend to restart negotiations, and when to restart negotiations is affected by accidental factors. The form of resumption of negotiations is more likely to be the form of indirect talks between the United States and Iran mediated by the European Union. In fact, the goal of the negotiations will no longer be to return to the 2015 agreement but to reach a new one. Even if the talks are resumed, it will still be difficult to reach an agreement. The long-term failure to reach an agreement in the Iranian nuclear negotiations will increase the risk of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East, affect peace and stability in the region, and at the same time promote the formation of international opposing camps, which is not conducive to international peace.