THE PREDICTION OF STATIONARY MODES OF OPERATION OF GAS SUPPLY SYSTEMS BY THE METHOD OF INTEGRAL COEFFICIENTS

Abstract

The authors present the methods of generating the system of the integral coefficients of influence for gas transmission systems aiming at the estimation of the parameters of its work on stationary operating modes. Each change of the technological parameters of the operation mode at the input of the gas transmission system will necessarily cause the reaction of the system which will manifest itself in changing the corresponding parameters at its output. Obviously, the parameters of the input and output of the system are interconnected by a complex system of equations, the implementation of which requires certain time costs and gathering additional information about the technical and hydrogasdynamic states of the system at each moment. Under the conditions of incomplete loading of the gas transmission system, which involves frequent changes in its operation modes, the accomplishment of the task is not always possible. It is suggested to create a system of integral coefficients of influence which characterize the ratio of input and output information in different stationary modes, and formally submit it in a matrix form. The processes characterized by integral coefficients of influence implicitly contain the technological parameters of the gas pipeline (length, diameter, hydraulic resistance coefficient, heat transfer to the environment, etc.) which can not always be determined with sufficient accuracy by the deterministic methods. The suggested methodology involves the creation of simple and effective methods of predicting which allow estimating the state of the gas pipeline by the costs and pressures at the inputs and outputs of the system, that is, by the operational data that are being monitored. On the basis of the proposed methodology, it is suggested to create an operational system that will allow managing the modes of operation of the main gas pipeline in cases of frequent changes in pumping volumes. When changing the technological scheme of the gas transmission system, there is a need to adapt the integral coefficients of influence. The application of the proposed methods is illustrated by the example of the main gas pipeline Soyuz.