Abstract

This article examines the demographic data behind the 2020 election and forecasts the limitations on the Biden administration for dealing with the economic fallout of COVID. Finally, the article argues that without an economic revolution, the US may be slated to return to the low growth, low investment, and low wage-growth economy of the previous ten years. Find more of Roberts' work at "The Next Recession."

Highlights

  • In the 2020 election, new President Joe Biden beat incumbent Donald Trump by some margin in the popular vote

  • Due to the peculiarities of the American constitutional system established by the ‘founding fathers’, a winning candidate needs a majority of votes from an ‘electoral college’

  • The counter argument is that voters in California are really being disenfranchised and it could mean that narrow voting victories in a number of small sates could that a president can be elected while losing the popular vote

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Summary

Introduction

In the 2020 election, new President Joe Biden beat incumbent Donald Trump by some margin in the popular vote. This 25% of the voters (and growing in size in each election) so overwhelmingly backed Biden that it was enough to overcome the smaller Trump majority among the white voters. That did not mean that working class Americans backed Trump more than Biden.

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