Abstract
Cirebon Regency, which is one of rice production centers in West Java Province, has experienced the conversion of paddy fields to non-agricultural land. The conversion caused the decline in rice production, which automatically reduces its contribution to West Java Province. The objective of this research is to build a paddy food sufficiency model as a direction to develop food sufficiency in Cirebon Regency, West Java, Indonesia. Secondary data used were sourced from various reports and documents of relevant time series from several authorities, while primary data were obtained from research in the area. The model uses a dynamic system approach. The results of the study showed that in 2031, area of paddy fields which should be protected increased, the number of farmers decreases, food sufficiency decreases, the area of paddy fields decreases, and farmers’ income increases. The application of moderate or optimistic scenarios can reduce the area of paddy fields which should be protected, increasing food sufficiency as well as farmer’s income. The spatial analysis results in land which is suitable and available which can be defined to become sustainable food agriculture land through a review process of the official spatial land-use plan.
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