The Interpretation of Past Economic Phenomena and the Prediction of Future Economic Trends Based on Evolutionary Theory

Abstract

Predicting the future has always been difficult, and it is almost impossible to predict both the direction of the future and the time of its arrival. By comparing the history of natural evolution with the history of economic development, this paper finds that both the traditional real economy in the past and the e-commerce system in the Internet era can find a matching historical period in the history of species evolution. The high degree of similarity between the two proves the close connection of the underlying logic between the two. Therefore, the author puts forward a conjecture: by comparing the natural evolution history to predict the future economic development and direction. The author further verifies this conjecture by viewing Silicon Valley as "the future that has arrived but has not yet been popularized." As the post-pandemic era unfolds, the next wave of economic change and prosperity will most likely occur in the next five to 10 years. The result of this boom is likely to be the rapid rise of the "Iron Man economy".