Abstract

The accuracy of ocean sound propagation modeling depends on properly representing the environment. The water column portion of this has phenomena and features that are time- and space-dependent, covering a huge range of scales. Nonlinear internal gravity waves (nonlinear internal waves, NIW) in shallow areas are important features that are moving, evolving and anisotropic, and whose effects can be handled properly only with 3D sound modeling. Thus, 3D NIW field predictions would be needed for comprehensive modeling. One challenging part of our project to make acoustic condition forecasts from available data involves making this 3D NIW field prediction using data-assimilating regional models that do not faithfully handle NIW. Our methods for extracting internal tide signals from the models, analyzing their propagation into regions where they transform in reality to NIW (but not in the models), and predicting NIW conditions in these regions are explained here. Outstanding challenges such as how to parameterize internal-tide coupled mode propagation on slopes and how to model highly nonlinear crossing NIW groups will be presented. The question of what constitutes an effective NIW prediction for acoustic purposes will be addressed.

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