Abstract

ObjectivesThis paper examines the extent to which hotspots of shooting violence changed following the emergence of COVID-19.MethodsThis analysis uses Andresenʼs Spatial Point Pattern test on 1500 by 1500 foot grid cells, correcting for multiple comparisons, on a 10-year sample of geocoded shooting data from Buffalo New York.ResultsThis work finds zero micro-grid cells are not statistically different from pre to post COVID stay at home orders and instead that the observed rise in shootings in the sample appears to be a consistent proportional increase across the city.ConclusionsThese findings provide law enforcement with useful information about how to respond to the recent rise in shooting violence, but additional work is needed to better understand what, among a number of competing theories, is driving the increase.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11292-021-09497-4.

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