Abstract

As populations around volcanoes grow, the potential for society to be impacted by lava flows is increasing. While lava flows are known to ignite, bulldoze and/or bury structures, little is known about potential impacts to buried infrastructure. We measure temperature profiles below molten rock to constrain a heat transfer model. Thermomagnetic and palaeomagnetic measurements on soil samples from beneath a 2014 Hawaiian lava flow are then used to verify the model. Finally, we illustrate the model’s utility in lava flow hazard assessments by modelling a hypothetical lava flow active for 4 weeks in Auckland (New Zealand). The modelling predicts the upper 1.7 m of dry soil would exceed 100 °C after 1 week, and the upper 3.8 m of soil would exceed 100 °C after 4 weeks. Determining the depth profile of substrate heating has important implications for planning and preparedness (e.g. siting buried infrastructure), volcanic impact and risk assessments, and decision-making before and during lava flow crises (e.g. mitigation measures to be employed).

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