The future studies of the structure of academic disciplines and educational groups in Iran in the atmosphere of the fourth industrial revolution: a scenario approach

Abstract

The present research was conducted in order to develop scenarios for the future structure of academic disciplines and educational groups in Iran in the atmosphere of the fourth industrial revolution. The approach of the current research is mixed, in terms of practical-developmental purpose and in terms of data collection method, it is descriptive-analytical and using the scenario writing method. The statistical population includes two spectrums; Scientific documents and experts were from public institutions and universities in Tehran. The sampling method was used in the qualitative part of non-probability criterion-based targeted sampling and in the quantitative part of the available type. The sampling method was used in the qualitative part of non-probability criterion-based targeted sampling and in the quantitative part of the available type. The findings showed 16 factors that after the structural analysis of the factors and the weighting of the uncertainties with the method of importance and consensus, the duals of "individual and network knowledge production" and "worn and technological work and employment system" got the highest score. From the interaction of these two uncertainties, 4 scenarios: competent oriented network structure with hashtag symbol; Responsive business-oriented structure with Tradesman symbol; Knowledge oriented task structure with collage symbol; And the educational island structure was achieved with the symbol of the school. In this way, the current situation of the structure of university courses and educational groups in Iran is against the developments of the fourth industrial revolution in a spectrum from transformation (hashtag scenario) to collapse (school scenario). In the near future, universities are witnessing a crisis in the production of knowledge and skills, competence and orbital competence for university graduates and preparing them to enter new markets. So; It is recommended and suggested to transition from the education-oriented island structure to the competent oriented network structure.