Abstract
From the level of agricultural material equipment, the level of agricultural output benefit, the level of agricultural economic structure, the level of agricultural industrialization management, the level of agricultural sustainable development, and the level of rural social and economic development, based on 15 indicators, an index system for evaluating the comprehensive capacity of modern agricultural development in Huizhou was constructed. The comprehensive evaluation of the development level of modern agriculture in Huizhou from 2012 to 2018 was measured by the entropy weight method, and the evaluation was analyzed with the average level of Guangdong Province. We find out the gap between the development advantages of Huizhou and the average level of Guangdong Province, so as to promote the development of modern agriculture in Huizhou. Based on the comprehensive evaluation index of the development level of modern agriculture in Huizhou from 2012 to 2018 obtained by the entropy weight method, a fractional cumulative grey GM (1, 1) forecasting model was established, and its development ability was predicted and analyzed. The forecast result has certain guiding significance to the development of modern agriculture in Huizhou.
Highlights
Agriculture is the most basic material production sector in the national economy
Compared with Guangdong Province, except in 2014–2016, the agricultural economic structure index in Huizhou city was higher than the average level of Guangdong Province. e gap in 2012 was 0.0471, the gap in 2018 was 0.046, and the gap in 2015 was −0.1197
Compared with Guangdong Province, Huizhou agricultural industrialization management level index was lower than the average level of Guangdong Province in 2013, and higher than the average level of Guangdong Province in other years from 2012 to 2018. e gap was the largest in 2014, which was higher than 0.0214; in 2012 and 2018, the two levels were comparable
Summary
Agriculture is the most basic material production sector in the national economy. Whether in China or abroad, whether in the past, present, or in the future, agriculture is the foundation of the national economy. e policy of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” put forward by the state emphasizes that the development of agriculture should be promoted as well as the increase of peasants’ income.erefore, in order to realize the important goal of building Xiaokang in an all-round way and promoting socialist modernization in an all-round way, the most fundamental thing is to stress agriculture and strengthen agriculture and Huinong District in order to achieve sustainable and stable development of agriculture and long-term guarantee of effective supply of agricultural products. Agriculture is the most basic material production sector in the national economy. E policy of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” put forward by the state emphasizes that the development of agriculture should be promoted as well as the increase of peasants’ income. Modern agriculture, which has been formed since the Industrial Revolution, is gradually moving towards commercialization and marketization. Agricultural labor productivity has been greatly improved. As one of the traditional agricultural cities and grain production areas in Guangdong Province, Huizhou has a very suitable climate for the development of crop production and has a relatively mild climate throughout the year. According to the Huizhou Statistical Yearbook, the per capita net income of farmers in Huizhou has reached double-digit growth rate for five consecutive years and has made great achievements in agricultural development. Agriculture is an indispensable part of our city’s national
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