Abstract

The environmental pollution in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region is of serious concern, and the environmental impact of dispersing Beijing’s non-capital functions and promoting industrial transfer in an orderly manner cannot be ignored. Based on the spatial panel model, the environmental impact effect of industrial transfer on pollutants was analyzed using the panel data of 13 regions in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Province from 2004 to 2018, and the total effect EKC curve was decomposed into direct and indirect effect EKC curves. The results showed the following: (1) The total effect of industrial transfer had a restraining effect on the emission intensity of three types of industrial pollutants. The direct and indirect effects of industrial transfer can significantly inhibit the emission intensity of industrial wastewater, whereas only the indirect effect of industrial transfer can reduce the emission intensity of industrial SO2 and SO2 in the region. (2) The EKC of the indirect and total effects of industrial SO2, wastewater, and dust was an inverted u-shape, and the EKC of the direct effect of industrial wastewater was a positive u-shape. Except for industrial dust, industrial SO2 and wastewater have exceeded the inflection point. With the development of per capita GDP, the emission intensity of industrial pollutants is showing a downward trend. Therefore, the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region should gradually transfer pollution-intensive industries, jointly protect the environment, prevent and control pollution, adjust the industrial structure, optimize the industrial layout, promote the development of a circular economy, and promote high-quality development.

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