Abstract
The subject of immediate post-prophetic disconfirmation behavior on the part of the primitive cult believer has been relatively ignored. Leon Festinger et al. in When Prophecy Fails explore to some extent the occurrences of rationalism and increased proselytizing in response to cognitive dissonance, itself brought about by the prophetic failure. Yet they do so only with regard to a recent American doomsday cult, the Lake City group. Others have often elaborated on the ultimate effects of prophetic disconfirmation in both primitive and nonprimitive groups, although failing to recognize those more immediate. Festinger's application of cognitive dissonance cannot only be extensively used to explain the immediate behavior of the modern believer subsequent to the prophetic failure but that of the primitive one as well. Such immediate behavior can then be shown to lead to those more ultimate effects of prophetic disconfirmation.
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