Abstract

The study examines the factors influencing farmers’ dependency on foreign foods aid towards agricultural production intention in Afgooye district, Somalia. Multi-stage cluster sampling using a stratified procedure to select the sample was used and 400 farmers were randomly chosen from four villages in Afgooye district. Factor analysis results result revealed climate change effect explain 36.090% variance, epidemics and health explain 11.552% variance, farming inputs explain 6.886% variance, and dependency syndrome explained 57.319% variance of the respondents’ intention to engage in crop production in the study area. The Regression analysis was conducted to determine the most significant factors. The results of the findings show that Epidemics and health concern has the highest Beta value of 0.659 (P<0.000), followed by farming inputs which are 0.152 (P<0.000), then dependency syndrome with Beta value 0.147 and P-value significant at P<0.000. However, climate change (B= -0.007, P<0.866) has a very low negative Beta value and therefore, has no significant influence on crop production intention of the respondents. Finally, the crop production intention among Somali farmers in the wake of food aids occurred because they were not ready to embrace the use of new crop production technology or envisage starting crop production using improved technology in the future.

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