Abstract

Following a recycling or continuous recycling process, there is always waste with no material or market value that can be converted into energy or other fossil fuel substitutes. The present study aimed to evaluate the management of organic waste policy and to predict the trend of organic waste generation in Albania. The research used an appropriate Box–Jenkins Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) to determine the quantification of organic waste to be generated. The main results obtained can support the decision-making process in the planning, change and short-term implementation of organic waste management, and the information provided is very useful in collecting, transporting, storing and managing waste in Albanian cities (Tirana, Durrës, Kukës, Berat, Shkodra, Dibër, Gjirokastër and Elbasan). Furthermore, the high percentage of the organic waste generation until 2025 constitutes good premises to raising public awareness related to their energy recovery.

Highlights

  • In the current context of the transition to the bio economy, the biggest environmental issue for all countries is organic waste management [1,2,3,4,5]

  • This study provides the possibilities of developing alternate solutions for the issue of urban organic waste management in Albania

  • Based on the direction of the Albanian government’s policy for sustainable waste management and the dates collection, we formulated the objective of the study by which we developed an appropriate Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model for time models for organic

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Summary

Introduction

In the current context of the transition to the bio economy, the biggest environmental issue for all countries is organic waste management [1,2,3,4,5]. The level of organic waste production in cities seems to be correlated with the level of income as well as with economic growth [9,10,11]. In this context, the European Union’s new waste management guidelines include measures aimed at greater recycling and reuse during the life cycle of products to benefit both the environment and the economy [12,13,14]. In most cases, as the distance to recycling bins decreases, the number of citizens who collect waste at home increases while the government should support markets for recycled materials to increase recycling rates [17,24]

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