Abstract

This study was carried out to assess the dynamics of greenhouse gas emissions and crop production in Nigeria. Annual time series data from 1981 to 2020 were used. Data were collected from the Food and Agriculture Organization and World Bank records. Descriptive statistics, Johansen Co-integration and Vector Error Correction Model were employed to analyze the data. Using Augmented Dickey Fuller test, the result indicated that greenhouse gas and crop production were integrated of order one; this showed that the variables exhibit random walk. The result of the Johansen Co-integration test showed that the trace statistics (74.35981) was greater than the critical value at 0.05 significance level (69.81889). This implied the existence of co-integration between the variables (greenhouse gas emissions and crop production). The long run result of the VECM showed that, the coefficient of greenhouse gas (-32.416) was negative and statistically significant at 1% which indicated the existence of long run effect of greenhouse gas on crop production. The study therefore recommended that it is important to educate farmers through proper extension services on how mitigate the long-term impact of greenhouse gas emission. This could include measures such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

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