The dynamic causality model on foreign institutional investments and nifty indices

Abstract

Post LPG, the Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) Investments, has created a massive impression on the Indian Equity market as well as the Indian economy, contributing toward several financial reforms of the Indian Government, RBI and SEBI, to a major extent, dancing to the tune of, the various Indian and other global economic crisis, to name a few, the US subprime crisis, demonetization in India and the Covid ’19 pandemic lockdown. The recent Covid-19 pandemic triggered fears of global recession due to which, the foreign investors started sculling back to pull out from the equity markets in India, a total net outflow of Rs. 1,12,189 crore (Rs.59,377.1 crore syphoned out from equities and Rs.52,811 crore from the debt segment) the highest withdrawal ever, in March 2020 by the FPIs, had a worst impact on the Indian Equity Market to the extent of a enormous drop of 1203 points of BSE Sensex and the broader NSE Nifty Index tanked 344 points in March 2020. This negative economic effect has prompted to analyze the impact of the FIIs Investments not only on the India’s major Index, i.e., Nifty but also its selected sectoral indices. The impact of FII investments has been specifically analyzed on both bidirectional and uni-directional relationship applying Granger causality model, considered more appropriate and have chosen the VAR framework for suitable outcome of the results of this study.