Abstract
PurposeThis article will select 25 years of subdivided data to perform Kaplan–Meier survival analysis on the export trade relations of Chinese wooden flooring, use discrete-time cloglog models to analyze influencing factors, use logit and probit models to test the robustness, and try to systematically reveal the duration of China's wood flooring export trade and its influencing factors.Design/methodology/approachThis study used Kaplan–Meier survival function estimation method. In the survival analysis, survival function and hazard rate function are often used to characterize the distribution of survival time.FindingsThe continuous average export time of China's wooden flooring is relatively long, about 14 years. China's wooden flooring has a negative time dependency. After the export trade exceeds the threshold value of 15 years, the failure rate of trade greatly decreases, which has a “threshold effect.” Gravity model variables have a significant impact on the duration of China's wooden floor export.Originality/valueStudying the duration of forest products trade is of great significance for clearing deep-level trade relations and promoting sustainable development of forest products trade.
Highlights
China’s initiative and creativity to build and lead the “Belt and Road” global value chain, the UK leaving the European Union (EU), the US withdrawing from Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Paris Climate Agreement . . . Under the background that new globalization and anti-globalization tide bump into each other, how is the vitality of export trade of Chinese wood floor? What factors can prolong the duration of its export trade? How to stabilize the trade relationship and promote the sustainable development of China’s wood floor export trade
The analysis found that, first, the duration of China’s wooden floor export trade is relatively long
If the estimated coefficient is positive, it means that this factor is not conducive to extending the duration of export trade, that is, it increases the probability of failure of export trade
Summary
China’s initiative and creativity to build and lead the “Belt and Road” global value chain, the UK leaving the EU, the US withdrawing from Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Paris Climate Agreement . . . Under the background that new globalization and anti-globalization tide bump into each other, how is the vitality of export trade of Chinese wood floor? What factors can prolong the duration of its export trade? How to stabilize the trade relationship and promote the sustainable development of China’s wood floor export trade.China is a large country in the production and trade of wooden flooring. Under the background that new globalization and anti-globalization tide bump into each other, how is the vitality of export trade of Chinese wood floor? What factors can prolong the duration of its export trade? How to stabilize the trade relationship and promote the sustainable development of China’s wood floor export trade. China is a large country in the production and trade of wooden flooring. Its export scale has been expanding, and it has maintained a trade surplus for many years. The Forestry Economics Review Vol 3 No 1, 2021 pp. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons. org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary 
Published Version (
Free)
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a call