The CREPE Score: A Predictive Tool for Third-Generation Cephalosporin-Resistant Enterobacterales Pneumonia in Community Settings.

Abstract

To evaluate risk factors and develop a prediction score for community-acquired pneumonia caused by third-generation cephalosporin-resistant Enterobacterales (3GCR EB-CAP). A retrospective study was conducted by reviewing the medical records of patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia caused by Enterobacterales (EB-CAP) between January 2015 and August 2021 at Srinagarind Hospital, Khon Kaen University, Thailand. Logistic regression was used to analyze clinical parameters associated with 3GCR EB-CAP. The coefficients of significant parameters were simplified to the nearest whole number for a prediction score, called the CREPE (third-generation Cephalosporin Resistant Enterobacterales community-acquired Pneumonia Evaluation). A total of 245 patients with microbiologically confirmed EB-CAP (100 in the 3GCR EB group) were analyzed. Independent risk factors for 3GCR EB-CAP included in the CREPE score were (1) recent hospitalization within the past month (1 point), (2) multidrug-resistant EB colonization (1 point), and (3) recent intravenous antibiotic use (2 points for within the past month or 1.5 points for between one and twelve months). The CREPE score had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of 0.88 (95% CI 0.84-0.93). Using a cut-off point of 1.75, the score had a sensitivity and specificity of 73.5% and 84.6%, respectively. In areas with high prevalence of EB-CAP, the CREPE score can assist clinicians in selecting appropriate empirical therapy and reducing overuse of broad-spectrum antibiotics.