Abstract

Subject matter. Informatization of processes of counteraction to man-made emergencies. Goal. Improving the effectiveness of the process of information support for decision-making in overcoming the consequences of man-made emergencies, in terms of its intellectualization, by creating a concept of integration of various software tools within a single, homogeneous space of knowledge about strategic, tactical and operational actions in a wide range of accidents and disasters related to the operation of technical facilities. Tasks. Develop a formal statement of the problem of decision-making in an emergency situation and justify the methodology of its implementation based on the integration of knowledge tools with various analytical models that describe the processes of emergency. Consider the application of the proposed methodology on a scenario that reproduces the situation on the site after the leakage of a highly toxic substance. Methods. System analysis - in the development of a comprehensive process model for decision-making in an emergency; software engineering - when creating the architecture of an integrated intelligent decision support system in emergencies of man-made nature; physics of the processes of distribution of toxic chemicals in the atmosphere - in the development of a scenario of the situation at the site in an emergency situation at an industrial site. Results. The concept of creating an integrated intelligent decision support system for overcoming the consequences of man-made emergencies, in particular, the formal formulation of a typical problem of decision-making in emergencies is described, as well as the basic principles of its solution, and the formulation of the problem of modeling management processes associated with man-made emergencies is developed. Conclusions. The concept of creating an integrated information-analytical system to support decision-making in man-made emergencies is presented. Within the framework of this concept, formal models of decision-making in man-made emergencies and an approach to the integration of diverse software within a single, homogeneous knowledge space on comprehensive measures to overcome the consequences of emergencies related to accidents and disasters at technical facilities infrastructure. The scenario example of the organization of intellectual support of decisions at release into the atmosphere of a toxic chemical is considered.

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