Abstract

Anemia is an independent predictor of mortality, which may be utilized as a signal of deteriorating health. We estimated the association between anemia severity categories and mortality following the initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) among people with HIV (PWH) in North America. Within the NA-ACCORD, annual median hemoglobin measurements between 01/01/2007-12/31/2016 were categorized using World Health Organization criteria into mild (11.0-12.9g/dL men, 11.0-11.9g/dL women), moderate (8.0-10.9g/dL men/women) and severe (<8.0g/dL men/women) anemia. Discrete time-to-event analyses using complementary log-log link models estimated mortality hazards ratios adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and HIV clinical markers with 95% confidence intervals for the association between anemia and mortality. Among 67,228 PWH contributing a total of 320,261 annual median hemoglobin measurements, 257,293 (80%) demonstrated no anemia, 44,041 (14%) mild, 18,259 (6%) moderate, and 668 (0.2%) severe anemia during follow-up. Mortality risk was 5.6-fold higher among PWH with (vs. without) anemia. The association was greater among males (aHR=5.8 [5.4, 6.2]) versus females (aHR=4.1 [3.2, 5.4]). Mortality risk was 3.8-fold higher among PWH with mild anemia, 13.7-fold higher with moderate anemia, and 34.5-fold higher with severe anemia (vs. no anemia). Median hemoglobin levels significantly declined within 4 years prior to death, with the maximum decrease the year prior to death. Macrocytic anemia was associated with an increased and microcytic anemia a decreased mortality risk (vs. normocytic anemia). Anemia among PWH who have initiated ART is an important predictive marker for mortality with macrocytic anemia having an increased and microcytic anemia a decreased association with mortality compared with normocytic anemia.

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