Abstract

The EEPAS (“Every Earthquake a Precursor According to Scale”) model is a method of forecasting earthquakes based on the notion that the precursory scale increase (Ψ) phenomenon occurs at all scales in the seismogenic process. The rate density of future earthquake occurrence is computed directly from past earthquakes in the catalogue. The EEPAS model has previously been fitted to the New Zealand earthquake catalogue and successfully tested on the California catalogue.

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