Temporal trends in opioid prescribing patterns among oncologists in the Medicare population.

Abstract

12022 Background: In the wake of the United States (U.S.) opioid epidemic, there have been significant governmental and societal efforts to curb opioid prescribing. However, it is unknown whether these efforts have affected prescribing among oncologists, whose patient population often requires narcotics for symptom management. We investigated temporal patterns in opioid prescribing for Medicare patients among oncologists. Methods: We queried the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Part D prescriber dataset to identify independently practicing physicians between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2017. We used population-averaged multivariable negative binomial regression to estimate the association between time and per-provider opioid prescribing rate, defined as number of opioid claims (original prescriptions and refills) per 100 patients, among oncologists and non-oncologists on both a national and statewide level. All models were adjusted for provider characteristics and annual total patient count per provider. Results: The final study sample included 20,513 oncologists and 711,636 non-oncologists. From 2013 to 2017, the national opioid prescribing rate declined by 19.3% (68.8 to 55.5 opioid prescriptions per 100 patients; P< 0.001) among oncologists and 20.4% (50.7 to 40.3 prescriptions per 100 patients; P< 0.001) among non-oncologists. During this timeframe, 40 U.S. states experienced a significant ( P< 0.05) decrease in opioid prescribing among oncologists, most notably in Vermont (-43.2%), Idaho (-34.5%), and Maine (-32.8%). In comparison, all 50 states exhibited a significant decline ( P< 0.05) in opioid prescribing among non-oncologists. In 5 states, opioid prescribing decreased more among oncologists than non-oncologists, including Oklahoma (-24.6% vs. -7.1%), Idaho (-34.5% vs. -17.8%), Utah (-31.7% vs. -18.7%), Texas (-19.9% vs. -14.7%), and New York (-24.0% vs. -19.7%) (all P< 0.05). Conclusions: Between 2013 and 2017, the opioid prescribing rate decreased by approximately 20% nationwide among both oncologists and non-oncologists. These findings raise concerns about whether opioid prescribing legislation and guidelines intended for the non-cancer population are being applied inappropriately to patients with cancer and survivors.