Temporal Prediction of Multiapplication Consolidated Workloads in Distributed Clouds

Abstract

With their fast development and deployment, a large number of cloud services provided by distributed cloud data centers have become the most important part of Internet services. In spite of numerous benefits, their providers face some challenging issues, e.g., dynamic resource scaling and power consumption. Workload prediction plays a crucial role in addressing them. Accuracy and fast learning are the key performances. Its consistent efforts have been made for their improvement. This paper proposes an integrated prediction method that combines the Savitzky–Golay filter and wavelet decomposition with stochastic configuration networks to predict workload at the next time slot. In this approach, a task time series is first smoothed by the SG filter, and the smoothed one is then decomposed into multiple components via wavelet decomposition. Based on them, an integrated model is, for the first time, established and can well characterize the statistical features of both trend and detailed components. Experimental results demonstrate that it achieves better prediction results and faster learning speed than some representative prediction methods. Note to Practitioners —Workload prediction plays an important role in constructing scalable and green distributed cloud data centers. This paper presents a novel and fundamental methodology to achieve accuracy and fast learning for workload prediction. It develops an integrated prediction approach that combines the Savitzky–Golay filter and wavelet decomposition with stochastic configuration networks to predict workload at the next time slot. In order to establish a fine prediction model for the obtained information while achieving better prediction results and faster learning speed, this paper proposes an integrated method, SGW-S, to build a prediction model of a task time series and determine its optimal model parameters. The experimental results in the real-world data set show that the proposed method outperforms baseline methods in predicting the large-scale task time series. The proposed approach can aid the design and optimization of industrial cloud data centers and practitioners’ prediction of different types of task time series.