Temperature trends in the Arctic and Antarctic

Abstract

This work considers global temperature trends and their prediction in the world and polar regions in particular. Global warming covered the period from the 17th till the end of 20th centuries. The mechanisms of this process remain obscure; however, it is clear that abiotic factors controlling climate make the most significant contribution. Starting from 1997, the global fall of temperature has been observed, with instability becoming the major trend. Climate depends on the interaction of abiotic (hydrosphere, lithosphere, atmosphere), biotic (biosphere), and social (noosphere) spheres of the Earth. All these spheres are characterized by a highly stable system. Human activity has no essential impact on global climatic processes. The consequences of contemporary temperature changes, which are to manifest themselves in the coming years, will not be extreme for all mankind. However, they may be of particular importance for the polar regions. The temperature in the Arctic will increase, while the climate of the Antarctic will become colder. The global average temperature will decrease and become more variable. Modern science is capable of predicting climate change. Serious climate research should be free from political and economic pressures.