Abstract

Syria’s withdrawal from Lebanon presents an opportunity for advancing the pacification of the Middle East. With Egypt and Jordan having signed formal peace accords with Israel, coupled with the nascent Palestinian state that now is at least in sight, a truly free and democratic Lebanon would provide Israel with a kind of strategic depth, being flanked by states with which it enjoyed at least a cold peace. This would open up scope for Israel to normalise relations with other Arab states – including Syria itself. But there are a number of obstacles that still stand in the way of this irenic outcome. Perhaps the most immediate is posed by the militant Lebanese Shi’ite Muslim group Hizbullah.

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