Systemic Risk and Tail Risk of Fintech Firms During Covid 19: A Case of Southeast Asian Economy

Abstract

The main goal of this research is to compare the tail risk faced by Thai financial technology firms with the systemic risk experienced by financial technology companies in Thailand. During the COVID-19 outbreak, it was also investigated how the effects of tail risk and systemic risk affected Thailand's financial technology businesses. During COVID-19, the number of individuals using financial applications online surged drastically, giving clear proof of the sector's stratospheric ascent. During the same time period, the number of people using cryptocurrency apps increased dramatically. This study is the inaugural examination of its kind, investigating the interplay between tail risk, systemic risk, and Fintech, utilizing data from a sample representative of the Thai economy. Our study primarily centers on the financial technology sector, with the data for Fintech companies being computed for the periods between December 2019 and February 2022. Fintech businesses in Thailand look through the theoretical lens provided by the extreme value theory when calculating the tail risk of their portfolios. The fall in the value of technology businesses has given rise to the idea of establishing a significant number of financial technology companies located in Thailand. A lengthier and more widespread dispersion is consistent with an exponential growth of fintech businesses in Thailand during the course of the COVID-19 time period. Some businesses within our sample exhibit notably short tails, indicating a heightened susceptibility to adverse events, particularly during the COVID-19 period. The results indicate that the global technology index during COVID-19 is reliant on the systemic risk posed by Fintech. It's possible that these outcomes might be attributed to the large growth in customer bases seen by FinTech businesses during COVID-19. Fintech companies in Thailand saw significant growth during the epidemic of swine flu. The current research is among the first of its type when it comes to grasping the issues of tail risk and systemic risk in fintech enterprises in Thailand. This development is highly beneficial for policymakers, financial experts, and academics, as it facilitates a deeper comprehension of these issues.