Abstract

The ship emission control area policy involves multiple stakeholders. This paper studies the behavior selection and its influencing factors of the maritime administrative department and shipping enterprises in the policy implementation, and constructs the system dynamics model of the evolutionary game of the ship emission control area policy. The model is used to analyze the dynamic impact of different fuel costs on the strategic choices of both parties in policy implementation. The results show that the cost of low-sulfur oil has a significant impact on the behavior of shipping companies. The government management department should reasonably formulate relevant incentive policies and fuel oil supply guarantee mechanisms to ensure the smooth implementation of the ship emission control area policy.

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