Abstract

System Dynamics Analysis of Integrated Pipeline Corridor Based on Risk Loops

Highlights

  • As a public tunnel for the centralized laying of municipal utility pipelines, integrated pipeline corridors can effectively solve many urban problems such as repeated road excavation and environmental deterioration caused by traditional pipeline laying and greatly improve the urban living environment

  • Method and the principle of pairwise comparison in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), we determine the interaction and the strength of the relationship between the risks of integrated pipeline corridor operation and maintenance, construct a dynamic risk model based on system dynamics, and analyze the influence mechanism of the risk control input on the system risk in integrated pipeline corridor operation and maintenance management

  • Qualitative risk assessment is carried out based on the index system of expert judgment and is potentially subjective. Methods such as the analytic hierarchy process [4], fuzzy comprehensive judgment [5], and gray correlation analysis [6] are widely used in integrated pipeline corridor operation and maintenance risk assessment, which makes the determination of index weights and index assignment more scientific and objective

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

As a public tunnel for the centralized laying of municipal utility pipelines, integrated pipeline corridors can effectively solve many urban problems such as repeated road excavation and environmental deterioration caused by traditional pipeline laying and greatly improve the urban living environment. Qualitative risk assessment is carried out based on the index system of expert judgment and is potentially subjective Methods such as the analytic hierarchy process [4], fuzzy comprehensive judgment [5], and gray correlation analysis [6] are widely used in integrated pipeline corridor operation and maintenance risk assessment, which makes the determination of index weights and index assignment more scientific and objective. The quantitative risk assessment is mainly based on the physical model and calculation methods related to the integrated pipeline corridor, focusing on the quantitative risk assessment of the fire accident characteristics that have the greatest impact on the integrated pipeline corridor operation and maintenance risks. We get 5 types of Class I risks and types of Class II risks as presented in Tab. 1

Comprehensive Pipeline Corridor Operation and Maintenance Risk Factors
Risk Path Analysis of Integrated Pipeline Corridor
Analysis of the Relationship between Each Level of
Analysis of the Relationship between Level II Risks
Causality and Feedback Analysis
Boundaries and Research Hypotheses
Model Flow Diagram and Main Function Relationship
Model Parameter Setting
Model Validity Test
Simulation Analysis
CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION

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