Abstract

The most well-thought-out strategic planning of real estate development projects is an extremely urgent task. A real estate development project affects the building area throughout the life cycle. The modern concept of the planning horizon of a development project should be based on the analysis of its full life cycle and the consideration of various positive and negative external effects in design decisions. For this purpose, the accumulated representative experience has been studied, the most relevant and demanded areas of forecast analysis have been identified and analyzed, which determine the strategy and specifics of real estate development projects in the early stages. The following specific areas of analysis of the development project were identified: the long-term trend of development of the building t area, scenarios of the project life cycle, the adaptability of project decisions to changes, involvement of interests of groups of the territorial community in the project, the integration of positive effects at the stages of the project life cycle, the multiplier effects of the project. The structure of the positive effects of the forecast analysis of the project is systematized, the accounting of which extends and strengthens the strategic planning of development and becomes the most significant competitive advantage of the project.

Highlights

  • The Russian real estate market in recent years, having gone through several ups, crises and downturns, has accumulated sufficient experience to summarize conclusions regarding the patterns and features of modeling the life cycle of real estate development projects

  • Speaking about current development trends and the state of the real estate market, experts are practically unanimous in the view that the monopolization and disparity of the real estate market is increasing

  • Development affects the built-up area and surrounding areas throughout the life cycle, which manifests itself in the form of various positive and negative external effects

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Summary

Introduction

The Russian real estate market in recent years, having gone through several ups, crises and downturns, has accumulated sufficient experience to summarize conclusions regarding the patterns and features of modeling the life cycle of real estate development projects. The conditions, restrictions, methods and rules of the real estate market have changed so dynamically that a large number of objects that were built only 10-15 years ago, i.e. relatively recently, already morally obsolete from the point of view of the conceptual and design solutions used there. Changed market conditions turn past approaches into inefficient and become a powerful catalyst for updating approaches and concepts for real estate development [1]. The current stage of the real estate market cycle encourages professional participants to intensively change ideas about a successful development project and develop new concepts [2]. We repeat the history of emerging markets - it is possible and logical to avoid mistakes by analyzing the best Russian and world experience [4, 5, 6]

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