Survival and prognostic factors after complete response to first-line cisplatin-based chemotherapy in patients with advanced testicular seminoma: The Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Neoplásicas experience.

Abstract

e15036 Background: The IGCCCG classification, used to guide the management of metastatic seminomas may underestimate the predictive value of other prognostic factors. We aimed to identify prognostic factors for long term survival in patients with advanced testicular seminoma who achieved a complete response to first line cisplatin based chemotherapy. Methods: A retrospective analysis was carried out on 101 patients with advanced testicular seminoma who received induction cisplatin based chemotherapy between 1990 and 2010.Data regarding clinical and laboratory parameters that may influence the overall survival (OS) or progression free survival (PFS) were collected from clinical records. Univariate analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, while Cox regression modeling was used for multivariate analysis. Results: The mean follow up time was 8.4 years. 9 (9%) patients died and 16 (16%) developed relapse. The 10 year OS and PFS rates were 91% and 84%. In univariate analysis, a testicular tumor ≥5.5cm and a retroperitoneal metastases ≥16 cm were associated with poor OS and PFS. The prechemotherapy LDH levels ≥2.4xUNL and age ≤36 years showed a trend to shorter PFS. Multivariate analysis showed that only the retroperitoneal metastases ≥16 cm was significant independent prognostic factor for OS (p=0.04, HR 3.86; 95% CI, 1.03-14.41) and PFS (p=0.05, HR 3.17; 95% CI, 0.99-10.15). Age ≤36 years (p=0.03, HR 4.29; 95% CI, 1.12-16.34) was also an independent prognostic factor for PFS. Conclusions: The presence of a retroperitoneal metastases ≥16 cm, a testicular tumor ≥5.5cm and age ≤36 years are associated with decreased OS and/or PFS in patients who achieved a complete response to first line cisplatin based chemotherapy. The use of these factors may assist the elaboration and implementation of new prognostic models that can guide the follow-up and management of patients with advanced testicular seminomas.