Abstract

To investigate the predictive values of surface electrocardiogram-derived parameters in patients with atrial fibrillation who underwent thoracoscopic epicardial ablation. The present study included 102 patients with atrial fibrillation who underwent thoracoscopic epicardial ablation and whose baseline 12-lead electrocardiograms were available. Frequency domain analysis was performed to calculate the electrocardiogram-derived parameters. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify predictive risk factors for postoperative recurrence. At 36-month interval, the overall rate of freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmia without antiarrhythmic drugs was 58.5%. The results of the univariable and multivariable analyses showed that larger left atrial diameter (hazard ratio: 1.074, 95% confidence interval: 1.021-1.130, P = 0.006) was an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation recurrence, while higher fibrillatory wave amplitude was a protective factor (hazard ratio: 0.292, 95% confidence interval: 0.157-0.542, P < 0.001). The associations were clarified by the restricted cubic splines. The dominant frequency and organization index were not identified as statistically significant parameters. The fibrillatory wave amplitude has the highest predictive value for atrial fibrillation recurrence in electrocardiogram-derived parameters. Together with left atrial diameter, it may help identify patients in whom thoracoscopic ablation is likely to be effective.

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