Abstract

As an important component to provide satellite energy, the power subsystem in-service operation state is of great significance to satellite safety. In this paper, the power subsystem reliability evaluation is carried out on the basis of the actual telemetry data from satellites. Firstly, the influence factors of the power subsystem telemetry data are analyzed, and the modified method to calculate the output parameters is established; Furthermore, the degradation trajectory of the power subsystem output power is analyzed under different in-service time, and then the difference between the global and the local degradation is discussed. Finally, using the performance degradation model, the reliability evaluation method for the power subsystem is set up. The result shows that the local degradation trajectory in the end of lifetime is critical for the remaining useful life prediction, and the method can provide references for the in-service reliability analysis of the on-orbit satellites.

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