Abstract
Xinjiang’s land transport network is mainly comprised of highways and railways. Using statistical data from 1985 to 2015, this study applies the Lotka-Volterra model to investigate the competitive interactions among highway transport, railway transport, and the regional economy of Xinjiang. We can draw the following conclusions: First, highway mileage, highway passenger transportation, and railway freight transportation have played a significant role in promoting the development of the national economy in Xinjiang, while the latter has weakened highway passenger transportation and promoted the growth of the added value of transportation industry (AVTI), railway mileage, and railway passenger transportation. Second, highway passenger transportation enhances the development of railway passenger transportation, while railway freight transportation has played the same role in the development of highway freight transportation. Third, the increase in AVTI will increase total population, but both may have a negative impact on the national economy in the short term. Fourth, there is no significant relationship between the economy and transportation investment.
Highlights
In recent years, with the rapid economic development of society, it is increasingly more convenient for people to travel
This study employs the LV-COMSUD model to capture the competitive interactions among gross domestic product (GDP) and land transportation, as well as the competitive interactions among different types of land transportation
(1) Highway mileage (HM), highway passenger transportation, and railway freight transportation have a large positive impact on promoting the national economy of Xinjiang, which will weaken the development of highway passenger transportation and promote the development of railway passenger transportation, railway mileage, and added value of transportation industry (AVTI). (2) Highway passenger transportation promotes the development of railway passenger transportation, while rail freight transportation has played an important role in promoting highway freight transportation in Xinjiang
Summary
With the rapid economic development of society, it is increasingly more convenient for people to travel. Promoting and influencing the growth of the national economy by fully developing the advantages of highway and rail transport while achieving sustainable development between the transport industry and the national economy have been proven to be hot topics in recent research. The mainstream view in ongoing research is that the national economy and transportation complement each other; transportation is not just a condition of regional development, and a result of it [1,2,3]. Some scholars have empirically proven the driving effects of transportation and transportation investment on economic growth. Other research has shown that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between freight volume and gross domestic product (GDP), and that transportation can promote the development of the whole national economy [4]. Rapidly expanding markets make the region’s economy more closely linked, placing higher demands on transportation
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