Abstract
Under the background of “one belt, one road initiative” and the “Outline Development Plan for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,” Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao port group development is facing new opportunities. The port group has a large throughput, covering the hinterland with dense population and high economic density, excellent transportation infrastructure, and broad consumption market. However, the port group internal competition is fierce, and the development level is different in space. Based on this, this paper uses the HHI index and spatial economics as research method and aims to study the spatial evolution characteristics and influencing factors of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao port group. Firstly, the HHI index is used to describe the aggregation status. Secondly, the development level index according to port throughput and container throughput is constructed. The spatial development and evolution process of the port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao is analyzed by combining with spatial econometrics and economic geography. In summary, the influencing factor “diamond model” is constructed and took empirical research to verify its rationality and scientificity. The empirical results show a strong spatial correlation between the development of the Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao port group. The government intervention and the development of port industry have a negative correlation, and this impact will be weakened over time. There is a negative relationship between the level of marketization and the development of the port industry. There is a multiple and complex relationship between the port auxiliary industry and the development of the port industry, and it shows the short-term influence is smaller than the long-term impact. The level of port transportation infrastructure, the port industry competition, and the economic openness have significant and positive effects on the development of the port group.
Highlights
OLS regression was used to analyze model I and model II. e results are shown in Tables 6 and 7. e goodness of fit’s R-squared values of model I and II were 0.9657 and 0.9511, which indicated that the regression line fitted the observed values well. e results show that the above five variables have a positive impact on the agglomeration level of the port industry, which is consistent with the theoretical hypothesis
The coefficient of market development level is negative, which is inconsistent with the hypothesis, which means the market development level variable can not explain the regional differences of port industry development in Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao. ere may be omissions of important explanatory variables, or problems related to spatial analysis are not considered in the model. erefore, we introduce the spatial econometric model to correct the problems of the OLS model
The HHI index is used to describe the aggregation status of the Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao port group, and the development level index is constructed according to the port throughput and container throughput
Summary
Under the background of “one belt, one road initiative” and the “Outline Development Plan for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,” Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao port group development is facing new opportunities. e port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao is an important distribution point for the import and export of goods in the South Asia international logistics corridor of Sichuan, Guizhou, Guangxi, and Guangdong and an important water node connecting Guangdong, Jiangsu, Anhui, and Jiangxi provinces. e port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao has a large throughput. ere are three top ten ports in the world in terms of container throughput in 2018, including the Hong Kong port, Shenzhen port, and Guangzhou port. e port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao covers the hinterland with high population and economic density and has excellent transportation infrastructure and broad consumption market. Under the background of “one belt, one road initiative” and the “Outline Development Plan for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,” Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao port group development is facing new opportunities. E port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao is an important distribution point for the import and export of goods in the South Asia international logistics corridor of Sichuan, Guizhou, Guangxi, and Guangdong and an important water node connecting Guangdong, Jiangsu, Anhui, and Jiangxi provinces. E port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao has a large throughput. E port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao covers the hinterland with high population and economic density and has excellent transportation infrastructure and broad consumption market. There are great differences in the internal development level in space, and the competition within the port group is fierce. 2019, this paper studies the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the spatial pattern of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao port group, explores the effective measures to alleviate the spatial development differences of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao port group, studies the influencing factors of its development spatial evolution, and puts forward effective development suggestions, which is conducive to promoting the coordinated development of ports in the region and improving the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area development level
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