Study of the causal relationship of certain economic variables to the growth of agricultural GDP in Iraq and Algeria for the period 1990-2022

Abstract

The objective of the study was to analyses some of the economic variables of the exchange rate and money supply as well as the relationship between these economic variables and their impact on agricultural GDP in Algeria and Iraq for the period 1990-2022, after taking an overview of a range of concepts of economic variables as well as an analysis of the economic realities of agricultural GDP, The applied study showed that the impact of the variables (exchange rate, cash supply) on the agricultural GDP of Iraq and Algeria was analyses, The results showed that the exchange rate was negatively related to agricultural GDP because of the impact of other variables on the exchange rate itself, However the money supply and its inverse relationship emerged, defying economic logic, and this helped to explain the positive supply and impact on the GDP in general and the agricultural domestic product in particular. Over time, however, we observe that the exchange rate and the agricultural domestic product have a positive relationship, and this is because the government was able to obtain control over the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar, causing fluctuations in the exchange rate. As for the phone supply during the period allotted to specialists, this increased the money supply to the gross domestic agricultural product, which in turn increased the amount of money subscription to the GDP, In Algeria, the exchange rate and agricultural domestic product did not seem to have a significant relationship. However, there is a positive direct relationship the higher the foreign exchange rate, the higher the inflation rate, which in turn increases demand for Algerian agricultural exports because they are perceived as being inexpensive by non-residents. Regarding the money supply parameter ratio, there was a relationship. directly favorable, and this makes sense according to economic theory, In the long run, the exchange rate lesson was counterproductive to agricultural domestic product, but in terms of money supply, the relationship was counterproductive to agricultural domestic product. This suggests that the increase in the supply of money caused an increase in output in the short term and increased inflation in the long term.