Abstract
This paper USES the probability analysis method, Markov model to predict fire personnel safety evacuation design rationality in public places. In a large public fire safety evacuation for example is analyzed, the results showed that: Markov model can be scientific, accurate and effective to predict the export flow density of the extreme cases within the limited time and emergency exit door set minimum traffic. In order to ensure the fire after the personnel to evacuate to the safe zone within the time allowed.
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