Abstract

In this paper, we propose a new estimation procedure for discovering the structure of Gaussian Markov random fields (MRFs) with false discovery rate (FDR) control, making use of the sorted ℓ 1 -norm (SL1) regularization. A Gaussian MRF is an acyclic graph representing a multivariate Gaussian distribution, where nodes are random variables and edges represent the conditional dependence between the connected nodes. Since it is possible to learn the edge structure of Gaussian MRFs directly from data, Gaussian MRFs provide an excellent way to understand complex data by revealing the dependence structure among many inputs features, such as genes, sensors, users, documents, etc. In learning the graphical structure of Gaussian MRFs, it is desired to discover the actual edges of the underlying but unknown probabilistic graphical model—it becomes more complicated when the number of random variables (features) p increases, compared to the number of data points n. In particular, when p ≫ n , it is statistically unavoidable for any estimation procedure to include false edges. Therefore, there have been many trials to reduce the false detection of edges, in particular, using different types of regularization on the learning parameters. Our method makes use of the SL1 regularization, introduced recently for model selection in linear regression. We focus on the benefit of SL1 regularization that it can be used to control the FDR of detecting important random variables. Adapting SL1 for probabilistic graphical models, we show that SL1 can be used for the structure learning of Gaussian MRFs using our suggested procedure nsSLOPE (neighborhood selection Sorted L-One Penalized Estimation), controlling the FDR of detecting edges.

Highlights

  • Estimation of the graphical structure of Gaussian Markov random fields (MRFs) has been the topic of active research in machine learning, data analysis and statistics

  • Structure learning of a Gaussian MRF is equivalent to finding a sparse inverse covariance matrix of a multivariate Gaussian distribution

  • We propose a new procedure to find a sparse inverse covariance matrix estimate, we call nsSLOPE

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Summary

Introduction

Estimation of the graphical structure of Gaussian Markov random fields (MRFs) has been the topic of active research in machine learning, data analysis and statistics. One mainstream of the research is to estimate the structure by maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), penalizing the1 -norm of the learning parameters. In this framework, structure learning of a Gaussian MRF is equivalent to finding a sparse inverse covariance matrix of a multivariate Gaussian distribution. Xn of p jointly Gaussian random variables following N (0, Σ p× p ), where the mean is zero without loss of generality and Σ p× p is the covariance matrix.

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