Abstract
The article considers tendencies, peculiarities and problems of formation of geographical, commodity, industrial structure of export and import of goods, by the degree of their technological intensity (manufacturing), between the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and regional integration groups, Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), European Union (EU) and Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). The analysis was conducted using UNCTAD statistics on the digit commodity codes of the International Standard Trade Classification (SATC). The directions of trade diversification are offered. The countries for access of the EAEU to the markets of manufactures of ASEAN, EU and SCO are selected. Positive changes in the structure of trade, especially with ASEAN as well as the SCO, are noted. On the basis of calculation of index of intra-industry trade the sensitive goods are allocated, in trade by which EAEU competes with integration groups, the directions of development of industrial cooperation and inclusion in Global Value Chains (GVC) are offered. The presence of a large number of sensitive positions in trade with China, India, Poland, Great Britain, France, Vietnam, Singapore is noted. Prospective export products have been identified into these integration groups, recommendations to reduce barriers to trade have been developed.
Highlights
The article considers tendencies, peculiarities and problems of formation of geographical, commodity, industrial structure of export and import of goods, by the degree of their technological intensity, between the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and regional integration groups, Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), European Union (EU) and Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)
Во всех регионах отмечен прирост продовольствия, особенно в Ассоциацией государств ЮгоВосточной Азии (АСЕАН) – 225,1%, драгметаллов (128,4% в Шанхайской организацией сотрудничества (ШОС)), электроники, кроме частей и компонентов (314% в АСЕАН, 109,8% в Европейским союзом (ЕС)), частей и компонентов электроники (40% в АСЕАН)
Остались в топ-10 чушковый чугун (80% из России, 15% – Казахстана), пропан, бутан (71% из России, 24% – Казахстана), уголь, неорганическая химия (79% из России, 20% – Казахстана), вошел алюминий (86% из России, 9% – Казахстана, 4% – Армении)
Summary
3) являются Нидерланды, Германия, Франция, Италия, Польша. Доля Нидерландов, Италии и Финляндии упала, выросла доля Франции, Польши, Великобритании, Литвы, Бельгии, Чехии. 4) – Китай и Индия, а для других стран ЕАЭС – Россия и Казахстан. Выросла доля Китая по экспорту и импорту. В АСЕАН это менее выражено, связи с Брунеем, Лаосом, Камбоджей, Мьянмой минимальны. В ШОС растет доля Китая, минимальны связи с Киргизией, Таджикистаном и Пакистаном. 5) в АСЕАН преобладают энергетические (доля упала с 57,5 до 57,0% за 2010–2016 гг.) и промышленные товары (с 39,3 до 32,6%). Упала доля металлургических (с 18,5 до 5,5%) и выросла доля остальных товаров: продовольственных (с 0,8 до 3,1%), сельхозсырья (с 0,7 до 1,3%), руд и металлов (с 1,7 до 6%) и др
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