Abstract

Objectives We aimed to analyse data from our high-volume interventional centre (>1000 primary percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) per year) searching for predictors of in-hospital mortality in acute myocardial infarction (MI) patients. Moreover, we looked for realistic strategies and interventions for lowering in-hospital mortality under the “5 percent threshold.” Background. Although interventional and medical treatment options are constantly expanding, recent studies reported a residual in-hospital mortality ranging between 5 and 10 percent after primary PCI. Current data sustain that mortality after ST-elevation MI will soon reach a point when cannot be reduced any further. Methods In this retrospective observational single-centre cohort study, we investigated two-year data from a primary PCI registry including 2035 consecutive patients. Uni- and multivariate analysis were performed to identify independent predictors for in-hospital mortality. Results All variables correlated with mortality in univariate analysis were introduced in a stepwise multivariate linear regression model. Female gender, hypertension, depressed left ventricular ejection fraction, history of MI, multivessel disease, culprit left main stenosis, and cardiogenic shock proved to be independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The model was validated for sensitivity and specificity using receiver operating characteristic curve. For our model, variables can predict in-hospital mortality with a specificity of 96.60% and a sensitivity of 84.68% (p < 0.0001, AUC = 0.93, 95% CI 0.922–0.944). Conclusions Our analysis identified a predictive model for in-hospital mortality. The majority of deaths were due to cardiogenic shock. We suggested that in order to lower mortality under 5 percent, focus should be on creating a cardiogenic shock system based on the US experience. A shock hub-centre, together with specific transfer algorithms, mobile interventional teams, ventricular assist devices, and surgical hybrid procedures seem to be the next step toward a better management of ST-elevation MI patients and subsequently lower death rates.

Highlights

  • Myocardial infarction (MI) remains one of the leading causes of global cardiovascular burden [1]

  • Since 2008, when “Stent for Life” initiative expanded throughout all Europe, death rates in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) decreased to a plateau [3]

  • Overall in-hospital mortality was 6.1% (n 124), and it was most frequent in patients presenting with cardiogenic shock (p < 0.001, OR 37.81, 95% CI 20–60)

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Summary

Introduction

Myocardial infarction (MI) remains one of the leading causes of global cardiovascular burden [1]. Even if numerous e orts have been made to increase awareness, prevention, and management of acute MI, it still has a high incidence—ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) accounting for high mortality and morbidity rates [2]. Since 2008, when “Stent for Life” initiative expanded throughout all Europe (including Eastern countries), death rates in STEMI decreased to a plateau [3]. Interventional and medical treatment options are constantly expanding, recent studies reported a residual. Journal of Interventional Cardiology in-hospital mortality ranging between 5 and 10 percent [4,5,6]. Optimization of diagnostic and interventional treatment delays, as well as innovating novel drugs and treatment concepts, a better medical education and primary prevention of atherosclerotic disease are currently the envisioned solutions for lowering mortality

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