Abstract

The challenge in China is to retain high yields while lowering greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the context of the increasing global and Chinese demand for rice yield. Better fertilizer management is a key factor that favors intensive rice systems toward more intensive, diverse, and sustainable development to obtain higher yield and environmental benefits. Thus, we used a data-intensive approach to estimate yield, fertilizer productivity (FP) and GHG emissions based on fertilizer and soil characteristics across major Chinese rice-producing regions. The common rice production model showed medium yield, low emission intensity and FP, and low or high GHG emissions. Approximate 41 % and 10 %, 34 % and 3 %, 8 % and 2 %, and 8 % and 1 % probabilities for medium and high yield (MY and HY)-low emission intensity (LI)-low GHG emissions (LG)-high FP (HF) (MY-LI-LG-HF and HY-LI-LG-HF) were achieved in Northeast, South, Southwest, Central and East China, respectively, by adjusting basal, tillering and panicle fertilization and soil pH, N, P and K. Our results provide insights for adjusting soil nutrient traits and fertilizer inputs according to regional production potentials for higher yields and FP and lower GHG emissions in China.

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