Abstract

Preface. 1. Consensus report. 2. Contributing papers. Deterrence, disarmament, and post-cold war stability: enhancing security for both 'haves' and 'have nots' R.F. Lehmann II. 2.1: Qualitative - global. On deterrence, balance of power, and geopolitics R.W. Chandler. Proliferation stability and instability: conditioning factors F. Ermarth. Verifying the future: towards and international conventional arms control and conversion regime for the 21st century R. Giles. Crisis stability in a multipolar world R. Linhard. 2.2: Qualitative - European. Russia and the west: a partnership? R. Braithwaite. Possibilities for cooperation of Russia and the USA in designing, correction and realization of national security doctrines D.S. Chereshkin. Deterrence and stability V.I. Krivokhizha. 2.3: Qualitative - Asian. Geo- political stability and the balance of power in East Asia A. Farrar-Hockley. Strategic stability in the early 2000s: an Indian view of a south Asian model K. Sundarji. Non-nuclear proliferation and strategic stability in the Asia-Pacific region Xia Liping. 2.4: Quantitative: geopolitical stability and balance of power. Balance of power versus collective security: a game-theoretic analysis E.M.S. Niou. Russia's nuclear strategy: 90s and after A. Piontkowsky, A. Skorokhodov. 2.5: Quantitative: deterrence, crisis stability and first strike stability. Multipolar nuclear stability: incentives to strike and incentives to preempt J. Bracken. Controlling instabilities caused by rogue governments G.A. Kent. From MAD to MAD M. Rudnianski. FSSI as a universalmeasure of stability: from MAD-stability toward MAP-stability A. Piontkowsky, A. Skorokhodov. 2.6: Quantitative: arms race. Analyzing three-way arms races F.S. Nyland. New patterns in the arms race: some guidelines C. Schmidt. Approaches to mathematical modeling of the process of world-wide strategic nuclear conflict used in the former USSR A.V. Surikov. 2.7: Quantitative: proliferation. Stability, reassurance and non-proliferation I. Amit. Index.

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