STRATEGIC GUIDELINES FOR THE POST-WAR RECOVERY OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMY IN THE CONDITIONS OF INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT

Abstract

Post-war recovery must consider the concept of inclusive development, which is aimed at strengthening public security and social cohesion, supporting the reconstruction of the economy of the affected and de-occupied territories, and implementing the reforms of decentralization of power and health care in communities under the control of the government of Ukraine. That is why the substantiation of the strategic orientations of the post-war recovery of the national economy should be based on the conditions of inclusive development. The article aims to justify the strategic directions of the post-war recovery of the national economy in the states of inclusive development. The analysis showed that the structural model of Ukraine's economy from the point of view of technological development remains low-tech. This is evidenced by the share of productions belonging to 4 and 5 and technological systems, which is only 3.9 and 1.1 percent, respectively. The analysis results showed negative trends in the dynamics regarding the reduction of the already low share of production in GDP, particularly in high-tech industries. It was determined that despite the growth of digital technologies in GDP, unfortunately, they are implemented primarily in public administration, trade, and service. It has been proven that the technological structure of Ukraine's economy, according to the criteria of the organization of economic cooperation regarding the conformity of the sectoral and technical construction, is unstable, and its manifestation in the future may lead to critical consequences for the well-being of the population. It is substantiated that the design of an economic model of sustainable development in conditions of uncertainty and global turbulence requires the division of factors of economic transformation into two groups ("hard factors" and "soft factors"). Characteristic of "hard factors" is that recovery and reconstruction are possible after conducting a comprehensive analysis and assessment of the state of the economic, infrastructural, and resource potential of the national economy, as well as regional economies after victory, the complete cessation of hostilities and the guarantee of military security. Accordingly, "soft factors" characterize a set of favorable climates for the implementation of planned changes, as well as the function of stimulating or inhibiting these or other processes. Keywords: strategic guidelines, national economy, post-war recovery, inclusive development.