Stochastic optimisation of long-term block cave scheduling with hang-up and grade uncertainty

Abstract

Mass mining methods provide alternatives in developing deeper and lower-grade mineral deposits. Consequently, block cave mining has been increasingly popular mass mining method, especially for large copper deposits currently being mined by open pit methods. This study adopts similar concepts as in stochastic open pit production planning to the planning of block cave mines, to evaluate their effectiveness in a different approach to mass mining. The main contribution of this study is the incorporation of the uncertainty of delays from hang-ups and grades directly into the production scheduling process of a cave mining operation. Hang-up uncertainty relates to the uncertainty linked to the occurrence of ore that clogs the production draw points. This clogging causes time delays in the production cycle leading to tonnage losses and additional costs. Grade uncertainty is incorporated by means of stochastic orebody simulations. Both uncertainty sources are directly linked to the extraction decisions and influence the optimized schedules. The proposed stochastic integer programming model is applied to the optimization of the long-term schedule of a large-scale, low-grade copper deposit by taking into account hang-up delays in block caving. The results of the optimization maximizing net present value clearly show the capability of the formulation to mitigate the effects of both grade and hang-up uncertainty.