Abstract

Abstract. The Healthcare Critical Infrastructure (HCI) protects all sectors of the society from hazards such as terrorism, infectious disease outbreaks, and natural disasters. HCI plays a significant role in response and recovery across all other sectors in the event of a natural or manmade disaster. However, for its continuity of operations and service delivery HCI is dependent on other interdependent Critical Infrastructures (CI) such as Communications, Electric Supply, Emergency Services, Transportation Systems, and Water Supply System. During a mass casualty due to disasters such as floods, a major challenge that arises for the HCI is to respond to the crisis in a timely manner in an uncertain and variable environment. To address this issue the HCI should be disaster prepared, by fully understanding the complexities and interdependencies that exist in a hospital, emergency department or emergency response event. Modelling and simulation of a disaster scenario with these complexities would help in training and providing an opportunity for all the stakeholders to work together in a coordinated response to a disaster. The paper would present interdependencies related to HCI based on Stochastic Coloured Petri Nets (SCPN) modelling and simulation approach, given a flood scenario as the disaster which would disrupt the infrastructure nodes. The entire model would be integrated with Geographic information based decision support system to visualize the dynamic behaviour of the interdependency of the Healthcare and related CI network in a geographically based environment.

Highlights

  • Critical Infrastructure (CI) consists of services and technological networks such as healthcare, transport, water supply, electricity supply, information technology etc

  • CI can be represented as nodes in a network where they are connected through a set of links depicting the logical relationship among them; these nodes are interdependent on each other, and interact with each at other at various levels, such that the state of each infrastructure influences or is correlated to the state of another

  • We have focused on using Petri Net for the performance modelling of the Interdependencies as Petri nets are a graphical and mathematical modeling tool used to describe and analyze different kinds of dynamic systems

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

Critical Infrastructure (CI) consists of services and technological networks such as healthcare, transport, water supply, electricity supply, information technology etc. These systems are necessary for the well-being and to maintain effective functioning of society (Panzieri et al, 2005). CI can be represented as nodes in a network where they are connected through a set of links depicting the logical relationship among them; these nodes are interdependent on each other, and interact with each at other at various levels, such that the state of each infrastructure influences or is correlated to the state of another In a scenario such as the disruption in the service of one infrastructure nodes ( e.g. transportation) of the network during a disaster would lead to cascading and escalating disruptions across other infrastructures nodes( schools, hospitals, power grid, etc.) in the network (Pederson et al, 2006)

Motivation
NEED FOR STOCHASTIC COLOURED PETRI NET FOR HEALTHCARE CI INTERDEPENDENCIES
Failure rate Estimation
Reachability Graph
PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF THE HCI INTERDEPENDENCIES SCPN MODEL
INTEGRATION OF THE HCI INTERDEPENDENCIES SCPN MODEL WITH GIS
CONCLUSION
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